I just received an invitation to The Elder Scrolls: Online beta, and I don’t have to sign any non-disclosure agreement ^__^
I will be sharing my experiences here and over at PT.
During 2012 and 2013, a collection of videogame “journalists” and “indistry analysts” wrote articles screaming about the death of videogames and the rise of mobile gaming, some even arguing that all videogame companies should go mobile. I thought these predictions were at best misguided and at worse dishonest, so last year I wrote an article explaining why all the mobile gaming advocates and videogame doomsayers were wrong. I explained that each play style (mobile, portable, and console/PC) served a different need, and that statistics used were misleading, incomplete, and taken out of context.
Today, the first game journalist came out with a partial backpedal. Mark Serrels wrote over at Kotaku about how he was wrong about all his prognostications on how all gaming will turn mobile. While I expect more people to come out with similar pieces, it is in all honest more likely that they will simply remain silent.
So, I would like to take this moment to reiterate my predictions:
(1) Mobile casual gaming will continue to thrive, because everyone has a smartphone. This is a different demographic than that served by other markets.
(2) Nintendo will continue to dominate the portable market, as it always has, with the DS family of systems and incredibly polished high quality titles. They will serve a market of people who enjoy gaming on the go but favor robust gaming experiences to clickers and freemiums, and school age kids and college students.
(3) The console market will continue to grow, although slowly. It will cater mostly to high school and college students, as well as people in the late 20s and early 30s who grew up with videogames.
(4) The PC will keep doing its own thing and ripping off console games. </trollface>
Oh, and for those of you who care, I have started blogging over at Pop Trends with two other colleagues as regular bloggers and a few guest bloggers. I will repost some of the stuff from there over here, but with some delay. Check us out if you want.
Despite ridiculous claims about how teachers “make too much money” because the private sector pays teachers less than the public sector [perhaps private institutions should pay teachers a more dignified salary], because teacher make an “obscene” 35$ an hour, or because a group of science deniers decided that teachers aren’t smart enough, the truth is that the level of respect given to teachers in the US, at least in national conversations regarding education, is remarkably low. They are constantly framed as leeches who work for the sake of “paid vacation” (never mind the fact that they work on a salary and that by the time summer comes along they have already earned their summer pay) or because they want an “easy job” (last I checked, teaching was not an easy thing to do).
Last year, on December 27th, former chess world champion Garry Kasparnov took to Twitter to make some comments about the eSports scene, specifically in Seoul. He wrote that although Chess and Go are far less popular than eSports, because of the volatile nature of videogame fandom, Chess and Go will still be a popular game-sport 100 years from now, while League of Legends tournaments will be relegated to at best a footnote in the history of competitive gaming (broadly defined to include tabletop games). He wrote that ” the strategic purity of chess (or go, etc) is timeless for a reason. No storyline to tire of, no expansion packs to buy!” Despite the backlash from the (video)gaming community and my own inclinations to prefer playing videogames over tabletop games, I am inclined to agree with Gary. I don’t mean to say that eSports won’t be around in 100 years – in fact, as technology improves and we become a more technologically immersed society I expect eSports to only grow in popularity. However, I don’t see League of Legends tournaments (or Starcraft 2 tournaments, or tournaments revolving around any given videogame) to be around 100, 50, 20, or maybe even 10 years from now.